Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 12.010837 14.063193 16.307017 18.935243 21.921909 25.202785 29.071795
2025-05-18 8.277523 10.980097 14.253252 18.474571 23.735931 30.036231 38.105691
2025-05-25 6.137028 9.011483 12.790186 18.043301 25.066423 34.031173 46.221312
2025-06-01 4.731527 7.591256 11.624949 17.597756 26.057743 37.428331 53.642280
2025-06-08 3.604631 6.286923 10.326521 16.662521 26.113472 39.406973 59.162225
2025-06-15 3.147852 5.885142 10.235644 17.384297 28.495621 44.692608 69.546564
2025-06-22 2.711239 5.420153 9.952591 17.733359 30.298251 49.223885 79.122831
2025-06-29 2.239045 4.794780 9.299892 17.379967 30.930194 52.003682 86.247680
2025-07-06 1.803786 4.144568 8.494614 16.645289 30.832192 53.595338 91.606808
2025-07-13 1.681712 4.077179 8.709861 17.677578 33.720640 60.055403 104.908048
2025-07-20 1.559247 3.983972 8.857896 18.592044 36.466073 66.443816 118.454931
2025-07-27 1.379323 3.730709 8.657563 18.829894 38.028662 70.960234 129.206224
2025-08-03 1.168045 3.381448 8.252319 18.706888 39.074691 74.923296 139.732929
2025-08-10 0.965191 3.007622 7.744415 18.336376 39.667311 78.225538 149.520552
2025-08-17 0.794825 2.669250 7.251597 17.922599 40.121832 81.301552 159.113222
2025-08-24 0.653269 2.366567 6.781438 17.482159 40.459179 84.161140 168.475841
2025-08-31 0.512394 2.019764 6.135331 16.552679 39.692902 84.889793 174.024034
2025-09-07 0.470218 1.964677 6.209001 17.270428 42.403068 92.361289 192.317710
2025-09-14 0.417531 1.859067 6.131075 17.617529 44.349009 98.478027 208.431016
2025-09-21 0.347410 1.668765 5.785988 17.266139 44.732744 101.543377 218.953099
2025-09-28 0.277656 1.451852 5.318570 16.535634 44.185597 102.688804 225.836970
2025-10-05 0.266009 1.460598 5.520168 17.562067 47.743866 112.413693 249.929917
2025-10-12 0.251568 1.453236 5.671260 18.471383 51.101143 121.912690 274.035894